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Election 2022: SuperVoter players reveal the toughest seats to call


Thousands of Australians have weighed in with their predictions on the federal election, revealing the seats that should have the leaders worried.

Thousands of Aussies have entered their tips on who they think will win each seat in the federal election, revealing the toughest seats to call.

Political enthusiasts have made their predictions playing News Corp Australia’s SuperVoter — the footy tipping of politics — with revealing results.

Tipsters playing SuperVoter predict who they think will win each of the 151 seats that make up the House of Representatives in Saturday’s election, guided by information on who currently holds those seats and what other SuperVoters are tipping.

While many seats are seeing similar predictions from a majority of SuperVoters, there are seven key electorates that have proven to be the toughest to call among players.

Wentworth, Higgins and Hughes in New South Wales, Chisholm and Goldstein in Victoria, Boothby in South Australia, Bass in Tasmania.

SuperVoters are tipping the inner Sydney seat of Wentworth, held by Liberal MP Dave Sharma on a tight margin of 1.3 per cent, could be taken by independent challenger Allegra Spender, who has overtaken Mr Sharma as the favourite to win the seat in the campaign’s final days.

Another seat tippers think the government could lose is Chisholm, held by Liberal Gladys Liu, but the tips have been swinging between Labor and Liberal daily.

Even more in contention is the Liberal held Victorian seat of Higgins. SuperVoters seem to think this seat could fall any number of ways with tippers swinging between incumbent Katie Allen, Labor challenger Michelle Ananda-Rajah, and the Green and minor party challengers are getting a look-in as the lead keeps changing as well.

There is also a lot of movement in the South Australian seat of Boothby, held by Liberal Nicolle Flint. A small majority of SuperVoters are predicting a Labor win in the seat, but the lead has been changing.

Interestingly, the toughest to call seats among SuperVoters are all government-held seats, indicating there is much uncertainty over whether voters in the mostly marginal electorates will vote differently to how they did in 2019 and deliver a change in government.

The one outlier in the most volatile seats when it comes to tippers — the only non-marginal seat — is Goldstein in Melbourne’s south-east.

Goldstein is a safe Liberal seat, held by the party since 1984 currently with a 7.8 per cent margin. But the sitting MP, Tim Wilson, faces a challenge from teal independent and former ABC reporter Zoe Daniel. SuperVoters have been active in the seat since the start of May, with some tipping Daniel to win even before the traditionally safe seat was flagged as one to watch. More SuperVoters have been backing the independent challenger in the campaign’s final days.

If the predictions of SuperVoter players turn out to be 100 per cent correct, Labor will end up with 76 seats after the election – the barest majority needed to form government in their own right.

News Corp readers have until tonight to get extra skin in the game by playing SuperVoter – the footy tipping of politics. In this fun, free and easy game, all you have to do is predict who you think will win each of the 151 seats of the House of Representatives in Saturday’s election. Information is provided on who holds the seat currently, and what other SuperVoters are saying, to help guide your decision if you get stuck on any particular seat.

The player who guesses the outcome of most seats correctly will win a BYD Atto 3 electric car, along with the SuperVoter Golden Sausage trophy – memorialising that icon of the Australian election process, the Democracy Sausage.

Log on to www.SuperVoter.com.au by midnight at the latest to get your shot to be Australia’s first “SuperVoter”.

Originally published as Election 2022: SuperVoter players reveal the toughest seats to call



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