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ASX 200 tipped to plunge more than 4 per cent as global stock markets are smashed


Australian stocks are expected to plunge deeply into the red today as global markets are smashed and fears grow over a worldwide recession.

Australian stocks are expected to plunge deeply into the red today as global markets were smashed overnight and fears grow that efforts to control inflation could lead to a worldwide recession.

Wall Street copped it hard over the weekend and again overnight seemingly amid panic that the Federal Reserve will lift interest rates far faster and higher than previously expected.

The fear is that if interest rates go up too quickly, it will drastically reduce the ability of the public to spend money on other things, leading to a recession next year.

The Australian stock market meanwhile has been closed for three days because of the long weekend. But it is expected to feel the bite today in a big way — with a plunge of more than 4 per cent.

This follows on from a horror day on Wall Street overnight because of rising inflation, which has rocketed to 8.6 per cent in the United States and sparked a massive sell-off around the world.

Global equities, oil prices and bitcoin all plunged on heightened recession fears triggered by runaway inflation.

The Dow plunged more than 800 points before recovering some ground. Overall the S&P 500 sank 3.4 per cent as investors panic on fears the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates even faster.

Overall the S&P 500’s top 10 companies have lost more than $1 trillion in market capitalisation in four days, MarketWatch reports.

Big technology companies Apple, Microsoft and Amazon took the biggest hits overnight but the pain was widespread, with just five of the index’s 504 stocks gaining. At one point in the day, every S&P 500 stock was in the red at the same time.

The index of the biggest companies in the US is down 21.3 per cent in the first 112 trading days of 2022, the worst start to a year since 1940.

Aussie tech giant Atlassian went into the red -9.5 per cent, Tesla -7.4 per cent and Apple -3.5 per cent.

All this means pain for the Australian Stock Exchange.

“The hangover from a higher-than-expected US inflation reading is continuing to cause scissoring pain throughout the markets, as it extinguishes the hope the US Federal Reserve might be able to take its foot off the pedal on interest rate rises,” noted AJ Bell investment director Russ Mould.

Horror start to the week

US and European stocks had already tumbled Friday following the inflation data, with Asia following suit Monday.

European stock markets extended pre-weekend losses, while London took a hit also from data showing the UK economy contracted in April for a second month in a row.

Wall Street opened sharply lower, with the blue-chip Dow down around two per cent and the tech-heavy Nasdaq falling around three per cent.

World oil prices, whose surge has contributed massively to soaring inflation, slid abound one per cent as the high cost of living increases recession expectations.

The possibility of more Covid restrictions in China’s biggest cities also weighed on crude futures as the country is a major oil consumer.

Fresh coronavirus outbreaks in Shanghai and Beijing have seen authorities reimpose containment measures.

Bitcoin crash

Bitcoin tumbled to an 18-month low under $24,000 as investors shunned risky assets in the face of the vicious global markets sell-off.

The unit took a heavy knock also from news that cryptocurrency lending platform Celsius Network paused withdrawals, citing volatile conditions.

“It is not very surprising to see such a strong downturn as we have noticed an increased correlation over the last few years between traditional stocks, which have also tanked recently, and the cryptocurrency market,” noted XTB chief market analyst Walid Koudmani.

Patrick O’Hare, analyst at Briefing.com, said the carnage in the crypto market “is compounding worries about growth prospects due to the reduced wealth effect that also incorporates falling stock and bond prices.”

Recession fears

Investors were left surprised Friday when data showed US inflation jumped to 8.6 per cent in May, the fastest pace in more than 40 years, as the Ukraine war further fuelled energy and food prices.

The reading has led to fervent speculation that the Fed will now be contemplating a single interest-rate lift of 75 basis points at its meeting this week.

With the central bank forced to be more aggressive, there is heightened concern that the US economy could be sent into recession next year.

“The market is now thinking much more about the Fed driving rates sharply higher to get on top of inflation and then having to cut back as growth drops,” said SPI Asset Management’s Stephen Innes.

The US dollar, however, gained versus major rivals, benefiting from its status as a haven investment and expectations of aggressive interest-rate hiking from the Federal Reserve.

The US currency struck a 24-year peak against the yen before retreating, while it broke above 78 Indian rupees for the first time. It jumped one per cent versus the pound.

— with AFP

Originally published as ASX tipped to plunge more than 4 per cent as global stock markets are smashed



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